Iyad Amber06 November 2022
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From the first moment of announcing the results of the October 2021 elections, until the formation of the new government headed by Muhammad Shiaa al-Sudani, the accusation of foreign interference was present in the discourse of the political forces that formed what is known as the coordinating framework, and that there is a US-Gulf project that seeks to change the political equation, by excluding political parties. Shiites about the political scene, specifically the formation of the new government. This justification was one of the most important weapons of the media armies of the coordinating framework forces that they use in the arguments of asylum to the blocking third and the rejection of the majority government called for by Muqtada al-Sadr and his allies in the National Salvation Alliance.
The winds later took place with what the ships of the coordinating framework forces desired, and it shifted from the blocking third to the one controlling the formation of the government, thanks to the withdrawal of the Sadrist movement’s representatives, internally. Externally, America is urging the need to achieve stability and end the chaos left by the repercussions of the continuing political impasse by forming a new government, under the pressure of the energy problems faced by its European allies due to the repercussions of the continuing Russian war against Ukraine. Iran’s strategy succeeded in putting pressure on its allies within the coordination framework to keep it unified.
All these regional and international circumstances served the framework’s quest to form his government, and they played the game when they presented Muhammad Shia al-Sudani to form the new government, as he is a non-controversial figure who has knowledge and experience in the interaction of international and regional relations by virtue of his work in previous governments. America hastened to build bridges of communication with the Sudanese since the early days of announcing his candidacy until his assignment, and then the formation of his government, so that the American ambassador in Baghdad, “Elena Romanowski”, was the first to extend congratulations to Mr. Sudanese upon his official assignment and after obtaining the confidence of Parliament. The movement of the American ambassador reflects a realistic trend that expresses the Americans’ handling of the internal decision of the political forces to reflect a new image that differs from what is being marketed by imposing the American agenda on the decision of political forces, or their support for specific personalities to take over the government, or even their support for the survival of the Al-Kazemi government.
The abuse of the US embassy in Baghdad may not be an expression of a new strategic direction in dealing with the developments of political events in Iraq, which reflect the rise of political forces that the Americans consider close to close relations with Tehran, especially since the US National Security Strategy announced in (October) 2022), it did not mention Iraq as one of its priorities, but it emphasized the persistence of the Iranian threat to destabilize the Middle East.
However, it seems that Washington has a new approach to confronting Iranian spheres of influence, and this is being done through US embassies in countries where Iran has a high influence. It seems that the file demarcation of the border was carried out through the intervention of the American embassy in Beirut, and the support for the formation of the Sudanese government took place through the American embassy in Baghdad, both of which express the decline in the role of the American envoy for the Middle East files in the form of direct intervention.
Perhaps America intends to follow a different political approach away from the strategy of the Democrats during the Obama era, which emphasized sitting at the negotiating table, or the strategy of the Republicans during the Trump era, which insisted on escalating tension and staying on the edge of confrontation and direct confrontation. It seems that the US State Department’s strategy during the Biden era depends on dealing with the arms of Iranian political influence, whether directly, as happened in Iraq, or indirectly, as happened in Lebanon. As a result, the United States seeks to embarrass the forces that raise the banner of hostility against America by politically dealing with it as a reality, and moving towards dealing with actors away from the hegemony of the influential Iranian center.
The important thing is that rehabilitating the US Embassy in Baghdad in dealing with the events in Iraq, and away from the dominance of the complexities of the US foreign political decision-making circles and its repercussions, is an important opportunity for the Shiite political forces to correct their relationship with America, away from the slogans of ideological polarization in regional conflicts. It is also a new challenge for Prime Minister Muhammad Shia Al-Sudani, who was clear in his conversation with the American ambassador when he assured her that dealing with Iraq should be away from the traditional thinking that he wants Iraq to be in the front line of the American confrontation with Iran, and it must be avoided from claiming The lie is that a government close to or supported by America can perform this function, but rather to help achieve stability in Iraq and support its economy, it achieves the interests of the two countries away from the quarrels of escalation and confrontation with Tehran and its proxies in Iraq.
In the coming days, Al-Sudani will face an important political challenge, both internally and externally. Internally, he has to convince the Shiite political forces participating in his government that repeating the mistakes of dealing with the Abdul-Mahdi government by entering the government and embarrassing it with Katyusha rockets targeting embassies in the Green Zone must not be repeated with him, and that the foreign policy orientation must be in accordance with the criterion of political interest and not preconceived positions. And that the government is the first and last responsible for the external political decision, and it cannot be accepted to weaken its function in preserving the sovereignty of Iraq.
Externally, he needs to strengthen foreign relations with regional and international powers and benefit from the external support and welcome that his government has received, and then he must start by choosing a diplomatic team that expresses the direction of the Sudanese government in foreign policy, and that this team is qualified to present the vision of the new government, and provide its external support.
TwitterThe opinions and views expressed in this article do not necessarily reflect the official opinions, views or policies of Middle East Broadcasting Network (MBN).
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