July 9, 2021 00:17 am
Dr.. Muhammad Al-Saeed Idris
Iraqi Prime Minister Mustafa Al-Kadhimi is scheduled to visit Washington at the end of July to meet for the first time with US President Joe Biden, as part of a new round of strategic dialogue between Iraq and the United States, the fourth of its kind, to discuss the file of the relationship between the two countries, including the withdrawal schedule. The US and the strategic and economic cooperation between the two countries.
This round of dialogue between the two countries comes in more complicated circumstances than those of the previous three rounds that took place in June and August 2020 and on April 7, 2021, whether at the level of the relationship between the two countries, or at the level of regional conditions in Iraq. Or on the internal Iraqi level, which is about to hold very complex general elections as well, especially for Al-Kazemi, who has not yet announced his candidacy, and this is something that it is difficult to imagine that the US administration does not take into account, and it will inevitably have negative effects on the bets The future Washington on the person of Al-Kazemi is among the expected outcomes of the dialogue.
Al-Kazemi’s visit a few days ago to the Vatican and his meeting with His Holiness the Pope, then to Brussels and his statements during them, are important indicators of his expected dialogue in Washington. The speech he delivered in Brussels during his meeting with the permanent representatives of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO), reflected his concerns about the difficult complexities of the files he is facing, especially his awareness of Iraq’s serious need for military, armament and training assistance from the coalition forces operating in Iraq, and his awareness, on the other hand, of the weight of popular demands. the necessity of ending the presence of foreign forces and not merely scheduling their withdrawal; Therefore, in his speech, he focused on two issues: the first, he said: “The progress we have made on the security front prompts us, through the strategic dialogue that we started in 2020 with the coalition, to find time and technical mechanisms for withdrawing the combat forces of the coalition and continuing cooperation in all fields, especially armament and rehabilitation. Training and intelligence support.
The second issue is to show the seriousness of Iraqi boredom. As it has become an arena of conflict and settling US-Iranian scores, and its demand for the necessity of liberating Iraq from this equation that obstructs its security and stability.
Al-Kazemi was very frank in expressing this so that his messages reached Washington less than three weeks before his visit; Therefore, he called in his speech, to spare Iraq “to be an arena for regional conflicts on the one hand, and international conflicts on the other, and that the security of Iraq is affected by the security of the region, and that the security of the region can only be achieved by adhering to international resolutions that call on all parties to the traditional conflict to abide by international legitimacy.” . Al-Kadhimi concluded his speech by categorically refusing to “use its lands to attack its neighbors.”
Al-Kazemi’s message was directed to Washington very frankly, especially since it came days after the raids carried out by American planes against groups of the Iraqi Popular Mobilization on Sunday 27/6 2021 on the Iraqi-Syrian border, raids that the US administration deliberately confirmed its goals in a letter to the Security Council that followed. Linda Thomas Granfield, head of the US delegation to the United Nations, said Tuesday evening, June 29, 2021, that her country had launched air strikes on Iranian-backed armed factions in Syria and Iraq to prevent militants from carrying out or supporting further attacks on US forces or facilities.
The blunt American frankness put Al-Kazemi in great embarrassment with Iran, and with the Popular Mobilization Forces. Even if he wanted his messages to reach Tehran, like Washington, regarding the need to spare his country from being an arena for settling American-Iranian accounts, the American clarifications regarding the recent strikes could exacerbate the aggravation of the relationship with Tehran, and with the Popular Mobilization Forces, especially since Al-Kazemi had presided over the parade. The huge military force of the Popular Mobilization that took place in Diyala Governorate, specifically in Camp Ashraf, which was previously an American base near the border with Iran, to celebrate the seventh anniversary of the Popular Mobilization’s founding, in an attempt to win over it and confirm that he (Al-Kazemi) is the leader of the crowd, considering the crowd is a component of the armed forces headed by Iraq.
Al-Kazemi’s internal complications that may impede reaching satisfactory results in the expected strategic dialogue with the Americans are accumulating due to the approaching date of holding the general elections, and the intensification of internal tension in the ranks of the Popular Mobilization to settle scores with the Americans and respond to their recent military operations, in addition to the pressures of the power outage crisis that led Al-Kazemi agreed to accept the resignation of the Minister of Electricity, and his own leadership of this ministry and its management of the crisis, while he is in Brussels.
Many complications are well watched by Washington and Al-Kazemi bears their weights, and they will inevitably have their effects on the outcomes of the upcoming strategic dialogue in Washington.