Mustafa Al-Kazemi is likely to announce next week his ministerial “platform” and his team, as well as it is likely that this will pass “quickly and quickly” in Parliament, under complicated local, regional and international circumstances, that could push Iraq to collapse if it continues for a long time.
Likewise, information indicates that there is a level of “high optimism” with the ability to “pass” parliament to Al-Kazemi and his government despite the efforts of some to pressure the taxpayer to collect certain portfolios, knowing that those familiar with the secrecy of the authorship confirm that “the government will gain regional and international acceptance, in addition to the local acceptance of the forces And the street (demonstrators) ». They say that the movement of some people is not limited to the outskirts of the “Shiite house”, but also withdraws from some “Sunni” and “Kurdish” forces, some of which have attempted to re-enact the faces of the resigned government. However, Al-Kazemi refused, with reaching an understanding that the mechanism for nominating candidates to share the portfolios be equal between him and her, provided that the decision is in his hand in the end in person.
The government may have to hold legislative elections on schedule, May 2022
Other well-informed sources liken Al-Kazemi’s mission to the mission of Lebanon’s Prime Minister, Hassan Diab, as “the difficult government of the time and the most difficult task”, that “the Iraqi crisis is more complicated than the Lebanese, in order to overlap factors and intertwine conditions.” Iraq is in the footsteps of Lebanon in the economic collapse, with low oil prices globally. What complicates the crisis is the social structure on the one hand and its sensitivity, and the position of Iraq in the American-Iranian conflict in the region on the other hand, despite the “indirect” agreement between the two sides to calm in the next stage.
In practice, the man may announce his ministerial program and formation in the middle of next week, and pass it in the last week of this month. A program that takes into account the conditions and available capabilities, and a bet on the possibility of achieving a “certain achievement”, if the efforts are combined between the taxpayer and the parties. Here, insiders assert that “Al-Kazemi rejects any pressure on him while assuming his duties, while he adheres to his right to administer the country and his duty to cross it to safety.”
This optimism is being promoted today by many of Washington’s and Tehran’s allies alike for several considerations, which imposes a question about the date of the early legislative elections that were absent as a focus in Al-Kazimi’s first televised words. There are those who confirm that the procedure depends on the Corona pandemic and the extent of the country’s “recovery”, given that the global climate indicates that the crisis will not end at the minimum before the end of this year, which means that the next government will not be able to hold elections directly in the fifth month of next year, Because she poured all her efforts into “other places … she will not be able to complete the technical measures necessary for that.” This means that the legislative elections will be held in its regular date, that is, May 2022, in a weighting that is directly related to the pandemic that paralyzed the world, and Iraq’s interest in “surviving” bankruptcy or collapse in light of the existing oil war, as its largest victim.