Iran would prefer to get out of Iraq defeated rather than expelled.
This is what the Iraqis will pay. This is because they decided to resist the Iranian project to expand at their expense. It is a difficult choice that Iran will seek to make them pay for before it declares its surrender.
Iranian madness is no longer replaced in the Iraqi daily dictionary. In Iraq, the slogan “Iran by land” has become the symbol. It is the key to recognizing the truth. The reality of the conflict between two wills. The first is the will of a corrupt minority, which sees Iranian hegemony as a safeguard of its interests. The second is the will of the majority represented by the people, whose satisfaction is no longer less than turning the page of the sectarian system that has come to a standstill.
Clearly, there is no possible understanding between the two wills. Therefore, the hope of a settlement that can end the conflict or slow it down is a kind of mirage that annoys Iran because of its suspicion of what it had counted on when it believed that the Iraqi file had been folded in its favor and that it was able to bury historic Iraq under the rubble of the sectarian state. That owes her loyalty.
Surprisingly, the Iranian regime discovered that all it envisioned as a solid construction through which it threatens the countries of the region is an imaginary entity and that the corrupt political class on which it relied to normalize its project in Iraq lives in complete isolation from the people it does not know.
Iran thought that it contained the Shiites of Iraq after the new regime facilitated them to practice the rituals of Husseini. But Iran has missed that the call for life lies elsewhere and that the people who wanted it as a human reservoir for the funeral processions are thinking about their lives in all its elements and aspiring to have a free and independent homeland like the rest of the world.
The Iranian regime was shocked that what they call the city of Hussein, Karbala, was the most protesting of their existence. Protesters put up a sign on the walls of the Iranian consulate there that read “It was closed by the people.”
It has become clear to Iran that the Iraqi people hate it. He hates its regime, its Shiism, its project, its militias and the political system in Baghdad because it is subordinated to it and is subject to its dictates.
However, Iran, traumatized by the abhorrence of Iraq, will not back down from its position, even though all the facts on the Iraqi street confirm that its project has become part of the past and that Iraq is no longer part of the Persian illusion empire.
If Iran were wise, it would have negotiated with the protesters through its representatives in Baghdad and ordered them to go out and leave Iraq to its people. This is the best solution and is the only solution that will satisfy the protesters and make them return to their homes. But Khamenei, a blind and irritable ideologue, is considering his expansionist project and not the fate of his followers, who could be badly hurt by popular anger.
It will be difficult to persuade Khamenei that the people he handed over to cry, cry and walk on his knees will triumph over him in defense of his life and the resurrection of his homeland. Therefore, he will remain reckless in his decisions on Iraq until he concludes the final defeat. That defeat would be a prelude to turning the page on Iranian influence in the region.
That’s what the protesters think. Which they seek to achieve. Khamenei’s defeat this time would be like Khomeini’s defeat in 1988 when he announced he had swallowed poison by agreeing to stop the war with the Arabs.