The paradoxes of the Iraqi elections: low participation and Maliki’s retreat and “crowd”

Baghdad Baraa al-Shammari, Karbala Muhammad Ali

14 May 2018

  The decline in the participation rate in the Iraqi legislative elections to the lowest rate since the US occupation of the country in 2003, the most important event, especially that the results of the participation of the cities of the southern stable was shocking, some did not exceed the threshold of thirty percent, Prisons to increase their participation rate. The same is true in the Kurdistan region of Iraq, which also recorded a decline in participation among the population, unlike the elections held in previous years.
While the Electoral Commission continues counting and counting under the supervision of international and international observers and agents of political entities, in order to announce the preliminary results of the elections held Saturday and the names of the entities and winning candidates in the 18 Iraqi provinces, leaks from several sources progressed my list of Prime Minister Haider Abadi ) And the leader of the “Sadrist movement” Muqtada al-Sadr (Saron), and achieve good results in the areas of their competitors in the northern and western provinces.  There is also talk of the decline of other lists, such as “the rule of law” led by former Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki, and “national” led by Iyad Allawi, and “decision” led by Osama Najafi, as well as not to achieve the list of “conquest” “The results were desired to win the post of prime minister, which was aspiring to.
Shock rate of participation
The desperation of change, with the presence of the faces and the parties themselves, and the Iranian and American intervention in drawing and forming successive Iraqi governments after the occupation, may have been the main reasons for the Iraqis’ reluctance tovote. The special vote, the expatriates and the prisoners accompanied the increase from 39% to 44% , Which is also the subject of questioning by political entities and observers said they are exaggerated because of the Iraqi street witnessed on Saturday a general reluctance to participate in the elections.

“The street is convinced that the elections are merely a formative transition stage towards negotiations and understandings to form a government that must be accepted by Iran and the United States. “

In an interview with “The New Arab”, Professor of Political Science at the University of Baghdad, Ahmed Abdullah Al-Hamdani, said that the Iraqi street is fully convinced that the elections are merely a stage of formal transit towards negotiations and understandings of forming a government that should be accepted by Iran and the United States in the first instance. “The electoral law passed by the parliament earlier this year is frustrating for the citizens. It is permissible to confiscate their votes and manipulate them. This does not need to be explained with the manipulation of the St Lego electoral system, the amendment of the votes and the electoral constituency and the creation of what is known as the number one sequence in the list.  Election campaign. “

Al-Hamdani pointed out that “the repetition of the same faces that the Iraqis have known after the occupation until today, with the speeches, slogans and promises itself, has become boring for the citizen, who considered that his participation does not mean anything that these faces will come back again for four years,” adding that The presence of a large percentage of invalid forms in the ballot boxes and write statements of protest or mark the “X” is a method of protest of another kind does not differ from those who were sitting at home did not participate.
This opinion was endorsed by the leader of the ruling National Alliance in the country, Karim Nuri, who saw that the low participation rate in the elections as a bell of danger for all.  He added in a press statement that “the vendors of scorpions who collected iron and wood election banners after the closing of the ballot boxes were more than the citizens who participated in the elections itself,” referring to the theft of steel frames and wood for advertising candidates by citizens and sellers of scrap and Haddad and carpenters.

For his part, said the leader of the “Iraqi Popular Movement Front,” Salam Hussein, that the participation rate was a scandal and shows that the Iraqi people left the stage naive and not to exploit the religion and the community politically, but hatred. He added in a statement to “the new Arab”: “I think that if the situation of Iraqis continue to retreat and frustration of the political system until the next elections, there will be a revolution in Iraq and will be launched this time from Karbala and Najaf before others, it is true to say the knife arrived bone.

A member of the Iraqi Communist Party, Walid al-Haboubi, told the “new Arab” that the lack of participation of Iraqis in these elections shocked everyone. “Of the 24 million Iraqis who have the right to vote, only 11 million have registered their electoral cards, Of the 50 per cent are not already interested in the elections in advance, and then of those who took their electoral cards did not participate only 44 per cent, and even this figure I see exaggerated and unrealistic, “noting that” people were desperate to change, the electoral law put him who participates in the elections Favoring the remaining parties in power. “


Abadi and Sadr are leaders
Reveals leaks from an official in the Iraqi Electoral Commission, spoke to the “new Arab”, that the preliminary results showed the progress of the list of “victory” (Haider Abadi), followed by the list, “Surun” of Muqtada al-Sadr and communists. The source pointed to the lists, “the conquest” of the “popular crowd,” and “National List” of Iyad Allawi, and the list of Maliki, “coalition of the rule of law,” the results are close but far from the list of Sadr and Abbadi, and that one of these lists will be ranked Third.
The same source revealed that the list of “Democratic Party of Kurdistan” on advanced results in the provinces of the Kurdistan region, adding that the list of “Iraqi decision” led by Iraqi Vice President Osama Najafi is the leader in the northern and western provinces, “Sunni”, as well as achieve good results in the region Karkh in Baghdad. He pointed out that the share of the alliance “victory” will not be less than 19 or 20 seats in Baghdad alone, as well as other provincial seats.

  The coalition of “State of Law” of Nuri al-Maliki is the most prominent losers in these elections 

On the merits of the civilian or non-religious figures in these elections, the same official confirmed that the results of the counting in Najaf, Basra, Muthanna, Qadissiya and Dhi Qar, as well as Baghdad confirms that they have good seats, and in the expatriates vote, these figures topped the other lists. He pointed out that the coalition of “State of Law” of Nuri al-Maliki is the most prominent losers, taking into account that he won in the last elections 92 seats, while may not exceed in this election thirty seats, and the “conquest” (popular crowd), which wants to compete for The prime minister will not be able to do so. The results are also disappointing, and the results are likely to be released on Monday or Tuesday at the latest. He pointed out that “delaying the announcement of the results is due to several reasons, most notably the controversy that accompanied the voting process, especially in Kirkuk, which has been controversial in this regard.”

It is noteworthy that the Arab and Turkmen parties in Kirkuk had issued on Saturday a joint statement, which gave the Central Election Commission in Baghdad 24 hours to start the process of counting and sorting, to reveal the true results of the elections, after charges of Kurdish parties to rig elections in the province. Al-Abbadi also called on the Electoral Commission to expedite the examination of the funds and organs contested and to announce the results to public opinion.

Iraqi Kurdish MP Zana Said, the Kurdistan Democratic Party (KDP), led by former Kurdish president Massoud Barzani, accused the Kurdistan Democratic Party of rigging elections in the region and the disputed areas, adding that four Kurdish parties reject the results. Elections in Erbil.
Said said in a press statement that these parties have strong evidence of electoral fraud by Barzani Party, explaining that the four parties that reject the hegemony of the “Kurdistan Democratic” is “Islamic Group”, “Islamic Union of Kurdistan”, and “Democratic Alliance of Kurdistan” , And the Kurdish “Change Movement”. He added that these four parties “will bless if the results match manually with what appeared electronically,” stressing that Barzani party manipulated the results.

In contrast, the leader of the Kurdistan Democratic Party, Mahma Khalil, in an interview with the “New Arab”, the accusations “political bankruptcy by these parties,” adding: “At the loss comes the loser different pretexts justify the loss,” rejecting the conversations that Indicates that his party manipulated the election results. “Where were these parties when we asked them to participate in the elections with a single list? Where was this when we asked them to boycott the elections?” He said, pointing out that “there is no Iraqi political reference to the size of Massoud Barzani, Kurdistan, the opportunity to get the highest results in the elections, “adding that it was the party that stood up to the” persistence “of the Iraqi authorities in Baghdad when it entered its forces accompanied by militias,” popular mobilization “Kirkuk and the disputed areas on 16 October last year.

Khalil stressed that the Kurdistan Democratic Party issued the results clearly in the provinces of Kurdistan and the disputed areas, likely to get his party to 24 seats in the next parliament, considering that these elections are relatively successful with the accompanying complaints and appeals and lack of participation, stressing the need to respect the results .

Attention to government
In the meantime, Tammuz organization to monitor the Iraqi elections, confirmed the existence of a large number of violations that accompanied the elections. The head of the organization, Vian Sheikh Ali, said that her organization has detected about a thousand cases between the violation and observation accompanied the election, pointing out during a press conference held in Baghdad that the participation rate was 40 percent, which is less than those announced by the Electoral Commission, Exceeded 44 per cent.  Sheikh Ali pointed to the existence of technical problems in the work of the electronic devices for the elections, pointing to the monitoring of hundreds of cases of delay, as well as the existence of data when reading errors of electronic voters.
However, the president of the Hamorabi electoral monitoring network, Abdul Rahman al-Mashhadani, played down the importance of these violations, explaining to the “new Arab” that some of the failures that hit the electronic devices used in Iraq for the first time does not mean that the elections were unsuccessful.

Leading in the “victory”: We do not have any veto on the blocs and figures winning in the elections in the negotiations to form a government 

Despite the lack of announcement of the results, but the alliance, “victory” began to talk about the formation of the next government. The member of the Iraqi parliament, the leader of the “victory” Abbas al-Bayati, that his coalition does not have any veto or red lines on the blocs and parties and personalities winning the elections in the negotiations to form a new government, likely to see the new government light after the holiday of Eid al-Fitr. He added in a television interview that “the electoral programs and the extent of convergence will determine the quality of alliances,” stressing that the new government will focus on technocrats, whether politicians or outside the circle of political work and within professional disciplines, adding that the new government will look for a practical program and realistic and economic and developmental and will receive support A strong parliamentary not to be targeted later, explaining that “the alliance of victory will enter negotiations with all blocs, and will open to everyone, whether they are within the ruling National Alliance or outside.”

But discussions on the formation of the next government will be marathon in the face of distrust and the existence of appeals to the results of the elections, according to a member of the coalition, “decision” Mohammed Abdullah, who expected many months before the announcement of the new government. He said in a statement to the “New Arab” that “the strangest thing in these elections is the establishment of any coalition or political entity to declare their own results and not accept anything that does not agree with these results,” considering that the next government can be formed only in accordance with the quotas imposed by External interventions.

the meantime, called the “National Coalition” led by Iyad Allawi to cancel the election results, and the formation of a caretaker government until the conditions for the holding of new elections, stressing in a statement that the reluctance of Iraqis to participate in the elections, the spread of violence and fraud and misinformation and the purchase of votes and the exploitation of circumstances Displaced and displaced persons, led the Coalition to this claim. He pointed to the fog in the actions taken by the Electoral Commission in the electronic vote, considering that the elections held on Saturday will produce a weak government does not enjoy the confidence of the citizen.

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Iraq elections pave the way for a second term for Abadi

 

Preliminary results indicate that my list of Sadr and Amiri compete for second place
Monday, 28 August 1439 – May 14, 2018 AD Issue Number [14412]
Electoral Commission officials prepare votes manually to compare them with the numerical value in Najaf yesterday (AFP)
Baghdad: Hamza Mustafa Arbil: Ihsan Aziz
While the final results of the Iraqi elections are due to be officially announced today, preliminary data reported yesterday that the alliance of “victory” came in first place, paving the way for its leader, Prime Minister Haider Abadi, for a second term.

According to unofficial results, according to the Reuters news agency, the coalition of «Saron» led by Moqtada al-Sadr came in second. But the French Press Agency quoted an Interior Ministry official as saying that the Fatah alliance formed by factions in the Popular Rally led by Hadi al-Amiri was second, followed by Saroun. As for the “State of Law” coalition led by Nuri al-Maliki, the preliminary results placed him in fourth place, and if confirmed this result, it would be a setback for the former prime minister.

In the Kurdistan region, the Kurdistan Democratic Party, led by former regional president Massoud Barzani, according to preliminary results, ranked first, and surprised the party observers by winning 7 seats in the province of Nineveh. The PUK came second.

Sadr reap the voices of Baghdad and his supporters chanting “Iran Berra Berra”

 

Dr. Osama Mahdi

Preliminary results of the Iraqi elections obtained by “Elaf” showed the victory of the alliance of victory to Abadi followed by the Sadrists, who won the elections in the capital and then the representative of the popular crowd, a Shiite coalition, while the results of Sunni forces showed modest and came in the latest results .. The UN Secretary- Iraqis to resolve electoral disputes and form a new government as soon as possible.

Thousands of Sadr supporters gathered in Tahrir square in central Baghdad chanting “free, free Baghdad, Iran is a cow,” while Iraqi forces were put on high alert.

The preliminary results of the Iraqi general elections that took place yesterday and won by “Elaf” this evening to win the alliance of victory for Prime Minister Haid al-Abadi, the most proportion of the seats of the Iraqi Council of Representatives among the main lists converged alliance backed by the Shiite cleric Moqtada al-Sadr and then the Fatah alliance led by the President of Badr Hadi al-Amiri, representative of the popular crowd.

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The number of seats obtained by lists and major coalitions is as follows:
The victory coalition led by Haider Abadi 41 seats
A coalition of reformists close to Moqtada al-Sadr has 37 seats
The Fatah alliance led by Hadi al-Amiri, a representative of the popular rally, has 34 seats
The coalition of the rule of law led by Nuri al-Maliki 24 seats
The stream of wisdom led by Ammar al-Hakim 17 seats
Alliance of Iraqi decision led by Osama Nujaifi 26 seats.
The Kurdish Democratic Party led by Massoud Barzani 25 seats
National Coalition led by Iyad Allawi 20 seats.
The alliance of democracy and justice led by Barham Saleh 12 seats
Patriotic Union of Kurdistan 12 seats
Kurdish Change Movement won 11 seats
The Electoral Commission said it would formally announce the results of the final elections within two days. The head of operations of the Commission, Safaa al-Jabri, said that the announcement of the preliminary results of the elections will be in the coming hours and the announcement of the final results in a day or two.

Sadr supporters in Baghdad celebrate their election victory

Official results for ten provinces and the victory of Sadr in the capital

During the press conference of the Electoral Commission, followed by “Elaf,” the head of the electoral district of the Commission, Riad Badran late on Sunday evening the results of 97 votes in ten provinces where the coalition of Sadr alliance electoral alliances in the capital Baghdad as follows:

Baghdad: first pass first conquest the state of law third national victory IV
Basra: the conquest .. Ascend .. Victory III State of law IV wisdom
Al-Diwaniyah: Al-Fateh, then Al-Nasr, then Al-Hikma, then the state of law
Dhi Qar: Surat and Fatah and victory and the rule of law and wisdom
Al-Anbar: the national first and the Iraqi decision II and the third pass and victory IV and the rest of the fifth
Wasit: First, the conquest, then victory, then wisdom, and then the state of law
Babylon: conquest .. Surfers .. Victory .. Wisdom .. the state of law and competencies for change
Al – Muthanna: First, the conquest, the second, the wisdom, the third, the victory, the fourth, the state of law,
Diyala: the Iraqi decision and Fatah and patriotism and others and victory and wisdom
Karbala: the conquest first go second victory third state law IV wisdom

The UNHCR said that 8 provinces have not yet checked their results for not completing the audit of the results are Erbil, Sulaymaniyah, Najaf, Dahuk, Salahuddin, Kirkuk and then Maysan and Nineveh.

The election of the Iraqi Council of Representatives was held Saturday in all Iraqi provinces and compete about 70 thousand candidates to fill 328 seats in parliament.

UN Secretary-General calls for speedy resolution of electoral disputes and formation of new government

UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres called on Iraqi political forces to resolve any electoral disputes through existing legal channels and complete the electoral process by forming a comprehensive government as soon as possible.

The Secretary-General congratulated the people of Iraq for holding the parliamentary elections and after the military defeat of Daash, the elections represented further progress towards building a stronger Iraqi democracy.

The Secretary-General praised the efforts of election officials, party representatives and security forces to make the elections very peaceful and organized. He commends all the Iraqis who participated, especially those who voted despite their difficult circumstances.

The Secretary-General called on all Iraqi political actors and their supporters to maintain peace while the results are completed and urged political actors to resolve any electoral disputes through existing legal channels and complete the electoral process by forming a comprehensive government as soon as possible.

He noted that the United Nations remains committed to supporting the Iraqi government and people in this endeavor.

Earlier in the day warned Vice President of the Iraqi President of the electoral electoral coalition Osama Najafi of a serious crisis finds Iraq in its arms because of low voting and the conviction of many political alliances of the results of the elections, calling for political dialogue.

He called on leaders and members of the political blocs to calm and dialogue to address the current crisis and to keep in mind the preservation of Iraq’s status of chaos or differences that open the way for foreign agendas to play a direct role contrary to the stability of Iraq and the security of its people and society.

The vice president also called on the leader of the National Electoral Coalition Iyad Allawi to re-election and turn the government to conduct business. He said that “because of the reluctance of the Iraqi people to participate in the elections widely, and the spread of violence and fraud and misinformation and the purchase of votes and exploitation of the conditions of displaced and displaced, in addition to the foggy measures taken by the Electoral Commission in electronic voting after the citizen used to different procedures in all previous elections, Such a reluctance results from a legislative council that imposes a duty on the citizen away from his desire, as well as a weak government that lacks the confidence required for its success. The National Coalition calls for the re-election, while keeping the current government to conduct business until the provision of conditions Appropriate for the elections reflect the aspirations of the people of Iraq. “

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Iraqi elections .. submit my list of Abadi and Sadr

Iraq is awaiting the official results of the parliamentary elections that took place yesterday, which amounted to about 45 percent of the vote, which reported sources in the Electoral Commission progress to the victory alliance headed by Haider Abadi, with information that he got 60 seats and the alliance «Suron» of Muqtada al-Sadr by 51 Seats in the latest reference to the defeat of former Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki, while called for a national coalition headed by Iyad Allawi to re-election and the formation of the caretaker government.
The head of the electoral administration in the Independent High Electoral Commission, Riad Badran said that the voting rate amounted to 44.52 percent, which includes public and private voting and the vote of expatriates.
The Servant of Abadi
According to figures obtained by «AFP» from several political sources, the list of Abadi got about 60 seats out of 329 in parliament, which opens the door to the Prime Minister for a second term. And came in second place the alliance «Sarun» between the Sadrist movement and communists. The officials said that the alliance «Saron» got 51 seats in the next parliament.
In the third place, with about 30 seats, the alliance of «Fatah», which includes leaders of the popular crowd factions, according to the same sources. With fewer seats, the lists of former prime ministers Nuri al-Maliki and Iyad Allawi have been dissolved.
With regard to the final results, the Independent High Electoral Commission said that the results of the first parliamentary elections since the defeat is expected today or tomorrow.
On the Kurdish front, the new generation list has made progress on other political blocs such as Change and Justice for Barham Saleh in Erbil and Kirkuk, while the two major parties have maintained their position in the lead.
Reject the results
For his part, called the National Coalition, led by Iyad Allawi, to re-election while keeping the current government to conduct business, until the provision of conditions for holding elections reflect the aspirations of the Iraqi people.
Meanwhile, Iraqi Parliament Speaker Salim al-Jubouri discussed with President Bill Clinton’s envoy, Brett McGurk, the post-election period.
“The Speaker of the House of Representatives Salim al-Jubouri received the US president’s special envoy to the international coalition against the organization calling for the terrorist, Brett McGurk,” the media office said in a statement.

 

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UNHCR announces election results for a number of provinces

– 5/14/2018 12:34:00 AM .

Khandan –

The Electoral Commission in Iraq announced during a press conference on the results of the elections of the Iraqi Council of Representatives for a number of provinces: –

(Baghdad)

1 – Suron (close to the Sadrist movement)

2 – conquest (led by Hadi Amiri)

3 – State of law (led by Nuri al – Maliki)

4 – National (led by Iyad Allawi)

5 – Victory (led by Haider Abadi)

6 – Alliance decision

– Wisdom

8

– Baghdad alliance 9 – Biyarek good

10 – Tamdeen

http://www.xendan.org/ar/detailnews.aspx?jimare=19049&babet=71&relat=8030

Iraq .. Abadi coalition wins 60 parliamentary seats .. And 51 ‘to the chest’

13/5/2018 Now – Agencies 10:24:26 PM

Iraqi Prime Minister Haidar al-Abadi’s coalition has won 60 seats and the coalition of the ‘Saroon’ coalition, backed by Shi’ite cleric Moqtada al-Sadr, has won 51 seats in preliminary results.

The Fath Alliance of Popular Populist Militia has taken 34 to 39 seats in the current parliament.

A source from the UNHCR has announced to local media that the results to be announced in the coming hours represent 60% of the total number of views, and that next Tuesday will announce the final results.

So far, the Electoral Commission has not made any official statement about the election results except for the participation rate, which represented 44% of the total number of voters.

Voters and candidates await the official results of the Commission, to move the blocks towards its partners in order to form the next government.

The alliance, ‘Saroon’ earlier, the preliminary results of the counting of votes in the Iraqi elections indicate progress on the alliance victory, led by Haider Abadi.

The alliance ‘Saron’ its willingness to deal with all political forces during the next phase.

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