Prime Minister Haider al-Abbadi announced the final victory over the organization of “Da’ash” that has put a point in the last line of fierce military battles against the organization in Iraq, to end the war and to start at the same moment a new sentence that could be the beginning of fierce battles ahead, battles against corruption and against partners and adversaries In the political process, which was punctuated by the quotas and quotas between the political blocs so flooded the country and the people in a catastrophic situation of poor services and loss of security and lack of minimum requirements for normal life enjoyed by people in any country in the world, in addition to fear of proliferation of weapons outside the Rh state, and the possibility of encroachment of armed factions of the crowd that it seems bent on entering the next electoral battle based on what has been achieved from active participation on the ground and great sacrifices made in the battles waged against terrorism.
The position of Sunni blocs
Some of the political parties of the Sunni blocs are seeking to postpone the elections without proposing an alternative date. The main argument they put forward in their political discussions is the lack of readiness of their cities, which have become piles of rubble and ruins, the natural result. The military forces against the most powerful terrorist organizations in the world. Some Sunni blocs also view the impossibility of holding elections in their cities, which were under the control of “da’ash” and were liberated because of the millions of people migrating to these cities.
That these blocks are considered the provinces of northern and western Iraq and its political surroundings in which it moves, and it is impossible for politicians to convince the voter who lives in refugee camps and suffers from the destruction of cities and lacks the simplest services to interact with the political process and accept the elections. As most Sunni blocs today see it is very difficult to move on the street which suffered during the crisis of the control of the terrorist organization on its cities, where the Sunni political class fled to live comfortably in Kurdistan or the neighboring countries of the region and did not participate in the battles of the liberation of cities except a few, The political factions were behind their backs and joined the government effort, whether in the tribal or local police or the armed forces. They also helped the voters who formed about half of the inhabitants of these provinces who lived in the quartering camps. This small segment of the political bloc Sunnis, are demanding today and strongly to hold the parliamentary elections on time because they aspire to reap the efforts made in the previous phase, but even those who reject or demand postponement, we find today re-calculated and aggregated in new electoral lists under the most important slogan can attract voters in their cities in this The stage is the return of the displaced to their cities after the promises of reconstruction and rehabilitation.
The popular crowd and the danger of guns
After the announcement of victory became the subject of the popular mobilization factions of the subjects of the important and embarrassing, while the party believes defending the survival of the body of the crowd as they are, that is to consider the military body of the Commander-in-Chief of the armed forces, and formality, as effectively moved field leaders proved their presence on the ground, This is reminiscent of the experiences of regional observers that fear the allies before the enemies. To look at the body of the crowd today and its future in Iraq is reminiscent of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Foundation, which since its establishment has become a rival institution for the army based on ideological construction linked to the jurist and the rule of institutions and wealth and structure almost represent Ululation within the state. The issue of the Popular Lobby is also mentioned with the experience of the Lebanese Hezbollah and the weapon of resistance that is outside the control of the Lebanese state. Hezbollah, which acted independently, led the Lebanese state to sometimes fateful conflicts, as happened in the July 2006 war with Israel. Syrian civil war in defense of the regime.
The rush of some factions of the Iraqi popular crowd in regional conflicts such as Asaib Ahl al-Haq, Abu Fadl al-Abbas Brigade, the Iraqi Battalions Brigades and the Iraqi Hizballah represents a real threat to the Iraqi political game by the fact that these factions were subject to the popular crowd, while in reality they confirm that they are linked ideologically by reference Mr. Khamenei in Iran and receives guidance and support from the Iranian Quds Force, and we are today about the unprecedented situation of the transformation of these factions across the new political interfaces to the blocks and parties will participate in the upcoming election campaign supported by the endorsement of a large segment of the Shiite street, which sees an alternative to The corrupt Shiite, which did not provide anything during the 14 years of the political process, and therefore the street in favor of the entry of these factions the political game finds an alternative to eliminate corruption and find no harm in its ideological identification with Iran, but some find a force that can impose their plans To partners in trying to paint a strong government, even if it is imagined or unreal.
The concerns of the Kurds
After the repercussions of the referendum on the secession of the Kurdistan region and the earthquake that hit the political life in the region, there has been a situation of clear attenuation of the Kurdish blocs, both at the level of the two parties or at the level of the Kurdish street, has been noticed by a number of observers that Prime Minister Haider Abadi forgot or Forgetting to mention the Kurdish Peshmerga forces in a statement of victory when the number of troops that participated in the war to liberate the cities of Iraq from the terrorist organization, prompting the Prime Minister’s Office to add the mention of Kurdish Peshmerga forces when the statement was posted on the official website of the Prime Minister in Mahaw To address the embarrassment of what happened.
That the position of the Kurdish bloc today after the end of the threat of the organization «Da’sh» to the cities of the region has become the position to get out of the constitutional crisis in the region, which created a vacuum left the post of president of the region suspended or empty after the resignation of President Massoud Barzani, while the Parliament of the region is clearly lagging in its performance As a result of the conflict of the Kurdish political blocs against the background of corruption, which gnawed economic and political life and led the life of the Kurdish citizen to the worst situation since 1991 when the territory came out of control of the central government in Baghdad.
There is a financial hardship stuck to the Kurdish citizen and make talk about the political future and elections a kind of luxury, which does not have the researcher for a daily living and he suffers the waves of snow without being able to provide fuel for his children in the winter season in cities where temperatures drop below zero and in a country lying on the largest Global oil reserves.
On the other hand, it seems that the impact of the tsunami on the referendum that hit Kurdistan has been as effective as that of the Kurdish blocs on which it was based on its alliances and participated conspicuously in shaping the policy of Baghdad. The governments of Baghdad have long been agreed to form in Erbil, And the decline is remarkable, will the next elections will restore some effectiveness of the Kurdish role? Observers believe that this is unlikely today in light of the region is witnessing the deterioration of the crises experienced by it.
The possibility of renewing the danger of «urging»
Some observers still insist on some of the axes that are trying to put points on the letters and to ask questions that must be faced by the government of Abadi and the next government with courage, clarity and transparency. The organization of «Daqash» did not come from a vacuum, but we can attribute this, even in part to the wrong policies pursued by previous governments, and we must courageously admit that we did not study the phenomenon of «urging» and similar terrorist organizations in an objective scientific way puts the national interest as a priority above all , And we still lack to identify the causes of extremism in an objective and scientific way to identify the reasons, and to be able to develop effective solutions to them.
The question remains whether there is a possibility of a return to the phenomenon of extremist organizations such as al-Qaeda and a second “urging”? Will the answer be based on what future governments will take, and will you dare to open the files of corruption that have caused the deterioration of the military establishment and clearly indicate the responsibility of those who caused the disaster of the collapse of the army and the occupation of cities shamefully? Can the prime minister Abadi abandon his party and the political bloc that nominated him for the post to enter the next conflict, free of party restrictions and the block and therefore can make decisions courageously? This is what the Iraqi street hopes on the basis of what has been achieved by military victory, but it remains a mere security waiting for what will result from the following days.